Take a hard look, because we’re seeing the future of tennis in this US Open final. Which rising talent will win their maiden Grand Slam? Find out with our Casper Ruud vs. Carlos Alcaraz tennis betting picks selections and predictions.
When Casper Ruud and Carlos Alcaraz meet in the US Open final, both the Grand Slam and the No. 1 ranking are on the line.
Alcaraz had to work hard to get here, winning three straight five-set matches, but Ruud has appeared unstoppable since the Rund of 16.
There are numerous stories surrounding this match, and as fans, we should be treated to something exceptional when these two take the hard court.
Our US Open Men’s Final Betting Picks determine who has the best chance of winning it all.
Ruud vs Alcaraz Betting Odds that Lead to Win Picks
| (5) Casper Ruud | (3) Carlos Alcaraz | |
|---|---|---|
| +150 | Moneyline | -190 |
| +3.5 (+105) | Game spread | -3.5 (-135) |
| Over 40.5 (-105) | Total games | Under 40.5 (-125) |
Odds courtesy of OKbet Sportsbook on September 10, 2022.
Predictions for Ruud vs. Alcaraz
The victor of Sunday’s Casper Ruud vs. Carlos Alcaraz US Open final becomes a first-time Grand Slam champion and is crowned the world’s top player.
The US Open tournament organizers couldn’t have planned it better, with the world’s No. 1 ranking on the line, adding a little extra zing to an already thrilling prospect. The final pairs Alcaraz, a potential future GOAT, against Ruud, who has gone about his US Open business mercilessly — albeit in a less publicized and spectacular manner.
Ruud has unquestionably had an easier path to the final. The current world No. 7 had only one five-set match on his way to the main event, a third-round roller coaster against American Tommy Paul that witnessed more swings than a constantly moving pendulum.
Ruud overcame the challenge and has subsequently dominated all opponents, losing only two sets since the Round of 16. The 23-year-old faced only one Top 15 player, Matteo Berrettini, whom he defeated in the quarterfinals nearly without breaking a sweat.
Alcaraz, on the other hand, had two Top 15 opponents (Marin Cilic and Jannik Sinner), as well as Frances Tiafoe, who would have been in the Top 15 if Wimbledon hadn’t been stripped of its ranking points.
Not only did Alcaraz have to face former US Open champion Cilic, world No. 13 Sinner, and in-form Tiafoe, but he also had to face them all in five days. By winning three straight five-setters, the 19-year-old joined Andre Agassi and Stefan Edberg as only the third player to reach the US Open final.
Prediction and best bet for Ruud vs Alcaraz
Our prediction is based on player analysis and is an indication of who we believe will win this match.
Our best bet is the play we like most for this match or where the most value exists, and it is where we would deposit portion of our bankroll.
Prediction: Alcaraz moneyline
The question of whether Alcaraz could recover from physically demanding marathons was answered forcefully in Friday’s semifinal, when he defeated Tiafoe in five sets. Surprisingly, Alcaraz appeared to be the freshest of the semifinalists, which should tell you everything you need to know about the Spaniard’s capacity to recuperate for the final on Sunday.
No other player on the circuit covers the court as well as Alcaraz, who makes his opponents to take an extra shot practically every rally. He is lightning fast and backs up his impressive speed by pulling off miraculous, last-gasp winners with the ease of holding a racket. Not only that, but he possesses an infinite amount of weaponry as well as the mental toughness required to deal with high-pressure circumstances – a unique and crucial attribute for any athlete, particularly one of his impressionable age.
He also possesses a short memory, quickly erasing fleeting blips in order to recover instantly. Tiafoe witnessed personally how quickly Alcaraz recovers. The American broke him three times and won some key points, especially in the fourth set tiebreaker. But, in the style of a future Grand Slam champion, Alcaraz rebounded back faster than a squash ball pinged against a wall.
Alcaraz hopes to put an exclamation point on an already impressive season. He has four championships and is 44-9 in 2022. The Spaniard defeated Ruud in both previous meetings, one on hardcourt at the ATP Masters in Miami earlier this season and one on clay in 2021.
Alcaraz in four sets is the best bet
Although Ruud is unquestionably the underdog, he will seek to capitalize on a few advantages. First and foremost, Ruud is the younger of the two, having played four and a half hours less since the Round of 16.
He also has the advantage of playing in his second Grand Slam final of the season, having advanced to the final of the French Open, where he was defeated in straight sets by Rafael Nadal. That experience has already aided Ruud, who has displayed maturity and poise far above his years. He plays the important points with unwavering poise and effectively selects his locations to exploit an opponent’s flaws.
Ruud also enjoys the advantage of being the underdog, an afterthought who, despite his high ranking, was given no chance of making it this far. Those who dismissed him will point to his inability to win on hardcourt, where he has only won one of his nine titles.
The Norwegian is a cunning and intelligent player who can beat anyone on his day. He hasn’t, however, encountered a Category-5 hurricane like Alcaraz. That will be his undoing.
While he will almost certainly fall short of his ultimate ambition, Ruud has played much too well to be swept in Sunday’s final. Anticipate the composed Norwegian to take a set in what looks to be a tense final, delivering a preview of what to expect on the men’s side of the tour for the foreseeable future.
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