In what is shaping up to be the more interesting of the two men’s US Open semifinals, hometown hero Frances Tiafoe will seek to advance past Spanish prodigy Carlos Alcaraz and into his first Grand Slam final. Can he accomplish the job as the underdog?
Carlos Alcaraz, a Spanish prodigy, outlasted Jannik Sinner and will now meet the in-form Frances Tiafoe in the US Open final.
Tiafoe, who beat Rafael Nadal in four sets and Andrey Rublev in a tense three-set quarterfinal, is also playing in his first Grand Slam semifinal.
Tiafoe is attempting to become the first American to win a major since Andy Roddick in Flushing Meadows 19 years ago. Can he beat the Spanish stud as the underdog?
To discover out, read our OKbet betting choices and predictions at OKbet.com.
Tiafoe vs Alcaraz odds
(22) Frances Tiafoe | (3) Carlos Alcaraz | |
---|---|---|
+160 | Moneyline | -200 |
+3.5 (-115) | Game spread | -3.5 (-105) |
Over 39.5 (-110) | Total games | Under 39.5 (-110) |
On September 8, 2022, the odds are provided by OKbet Sportsbook.
Tiafoe vs Alcaraz betting preview
Alcaraz defeated Sinner in the second-longest match of the US Open (5 hours 15 minutes) and now has just 36 hours to rest before returning to Arthur Ashe for what looks to be an exciting semifinal. The world No. 4 defeated Sinner for the first time in three attempts to reach his maiden Grand Slam semifinal.
The intriguing, much-anticipated showdown features two superstars at their most dominant.
Alcaraz has an insatiable desire to be the best and is frequently compared to Nadal, despite the fact that their styles are diametrically opposed. The 19-year-old wunderkind breezed through to the Round of 16 without dropping a set before facing former US Open champion Marin Cilic.
Cilic pushed the youthful wonder to the limit in a nearly four-hour, five-set battle. Alcaraz’s athleticism, youth, and ability to bring back a staggering number of seemingly lost causes proved decisive.
Alcaraz then rose even higher in the quarterfinals against Sinner, coming back from a set down to upset one of his primary opponents in the early hours of New York morning.
Prediction and best bet for Tiafoe against Alcaraz

Our prediction is based on player analysis and indicates who we believe will win this match.
Our best bet is the play that we favor the most for this match or where the most value exists, and it is where we would deposit some of our bankroll.
Tiafoe moneyline prediction
Under normal circumstances, Alcaraz’s robot-like strength, effervescent energy, seemingly pliable limbs, and determination to become the world’s No. 1 player would easily outweigh two late-night marathons.
Alcaraz, on the other hand, is up against a guy obsessed with destiny.
Tiafoe is an unstoppable force on the field. The 24-year-old carries himself with incredible swagger, making near-impossible drop shots look easy. He’s new, soaking it all in, bursting with confidence, and has an unrelenting, boisterous throng behind him.
Tiafoe has only been broken once all tournament, has held serve in 17 consecutive games against Rublev in the quarterfinals, and has only lost one set, to Nadal of all people. He’s also emphasizing his diverse arsenal and, unlike most players, won’t be scared to fight toe-to-toe with the lightning-quick Alcaraz.
Tiafoe is also displaying a new level of maturity and professionalism, all while smiling. The only prior head-to-head match was won by the American, who defeated Alcaraz on clay, the Spaniard’s favourite surface, and on the 19-year-home old’s turf. That match, though, took place in 2021, which felt like a lifetime ago.
In 2022, Alcaraz won four titles, three of which were on clay. Alcaraz has risen from 120th to fourth in the world rankings since losing to Tiafoe in Barcelona.
Tiafoe discovered a newfound love for the game and now focuses entirely on tennis. While he hasn’t won a title since 2018, Tiafoe has risen nearly 40 spots in the rankings, from 64th to 26th, since their last meeting.
Frances Tiafoe moneyline (+160 at OKbet) prediction
Tiafoe in four sets is the best bet.
The American will be encouraged by the raucous Arthur Ashe crowd, especially if he comes flying out of the gates. If he were to pull off the upset, he must get off to a fast start.
People sometimes forget that Alcaraz is still only 19 years old. While he recovers rapidly, he occasionally exceeds his baseline. As a result, he is vulnerable to brief bouts of inconsistency.
Tiafoe needs to pick up the pace, which is paradoxical against one of tennis’ most athletic creatures. Despite his supernatural prowess, Alcaraz has been put through hell in his last two clashes.
In terms of raw athleticism, Tiafoe is as amazing. Tiafoe will not get another chance like this. Everything is coming into place for the amiable American at just the perfect time, and now is his chance to make history.
Carlos Alcaraz in four sets (+300 at OKbet) is my pick.
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