Neither Italy and England are currently looking scruffy and have more problems than solutions on the pitch. As both offenses struggle, we don’t expect many goals in Friday’s showdown as these two struggling clubs sort out the kinks.

A year after meeting in the final of the European Championship, Italy will face England in Group 3 of the UEFA Nations League A on Friday. These two proud soccer nations are both on the decline after a strong 2021, and both will want to win this match for different reasons.

There are numerous subplots around both teams, and they may have an impact on how things play out on the field. Take a look at our Italy vs. England choices and predictions for Friday, September 23rd.


Photo By – USA TODAY Sports

Italy vs. England OKbet betting odds

Over 2.5 (+130)TotalUnder 2.5 (-167)

Odds courtesy of OKbet Sportsbook on September 22, 2022.

OKbet Betting Picks and predictions for Italy vs. England

Roberto Mancini will wish he could relive his team’s magic from last summer. He oversaw a run of 37 consecutive matches without defeat after taking over as manager of the Italian national team in May 2018. This includes a penalty shootout victory over the United Kingdom to win the postponed Euro 2020 competition.

But everything has gone crashing down in the previous ten months, beginning with a 2-1 loss to Spain in last year’s Nations League playoffs, which broke their unbeaten streak. Then, in November, they drew a World Cup qualifier with Northern Ireland that they should have easily won, relegating them to a playoff. This resulted in a devastating defeat to Macedonia in March, condemning them to watching the tournament from afar for the second time in a succession.

Italy will now look to bounce back from a 5-2 setback to Germany in their last Nations League meeting in June, as they have only won one of their four matches in the competition. They can still make the finals with two wins in their next two games, which is more than the Three Lions can boast.

England has already been eliminated from advancing, and with two games remaining, they face demotion to League B. They’ve scored only one goal in four games, and were left licking their wounds after a 4-0 humiliation at the hands of Hungary in June.

Neither of the teams arrive with a lot of questions and no answers. Gareth Southgate is facing concerns over his team selection as England prepares for a World Cup in which they are one of the favorites to win. He’ll have to choose between Reece James and Trent Alexander-Arnold at right back, and he’ll be without his first-choice goalie, Jordan Pickford, who is sidelined with an injury.

Mancini will have nothing to prepare for, allowing him to focus solely on winning the match. Italy has maintained only one clean sheet in their last six home matches, a startling run for a country that takes pride in its defensive record. That said, they have been held scoreless just once in this competition since its inception.

Prior to their June setbacks, Italy and England played a 0-0 tie that left much to be desired for both teams. Last year’s Euro final featured 120 minutes of play with only one goal scored each. I anticipate similar results in this fixture. Both teams will most likely line up with three center backs, making the middle of the pitch extremely crowded.

The absence of England midfielder Kalvin Phillips, as well as John Stones and Kyle Walker in defense, will aid the Azzurri. England’s lack of pace at the back, on the other hand, is unlikely to be tested by Italy’s slower strikers, and Ciro Immobile hasn’t scored in over a year.

Italy’s defense will most likely hinder England’s offensive once more, and several goals in this encounter seem doubtful. Given how hot the under is, look for value in the Asian handicap market in this one. Take the Under 2.25, with a pair of goals providing half of the payoff and anything less providing the full payout.

Under 2.25 Asian total is my best bet (-105 at OKbet)

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